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Joined 8 months ago
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Cake day: December 18th, 2023

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  • It’s hard to predict this in advance, since it’s sensitive to things like voter turnout in non-competitive states. For instance, a blizzard in New England could affect the popular vote without impacting the electoral college vote. So I’ll just tell you how to calculate it.

    First, identify the tipping point state. Some guys think it might be Michigan this year. Meaning either candidate can win by winning Michigan and every state more favorable to them than Michigan. Other good guesses are Pennsylvania and maybe Arizona. Then take the difference between a candidate’s margin in Michigan verses their national average.

    2020: The tipping point state was Wisconsin. Biden won WI by 0.6% and nationally by 4.5% representing a 3.9% electoral college advantage to the Republican.

    2012: The tipping point state was Colorado. Obama won CO by 5.4% and nationally by 3.9% representing a 1.5% electoral college advantage to the Democrat.

    So the electoral college doesn’t intrinsically benefit the Republicans, but it probably will this year.









  • Sometimes it means “We don’t want to spend a lot of money training this guy who we won’t be able to retain if he gets a better offer.”

    At really entry-level jobs like fast food, where training is quick and turnover is always high, it sometimes also means "This guy might be able to read the workers’ rights poster on the door and explain the workers’ comp program to the idiot who spilled boiling grease on his foot.


  • I think FDA rules explicitly prohibit paying blood donors in the US. Ostensibly because if you do, the donation centers fill up with junkies who’ll lie about not having hepatitis so they can get paid, or steal IDs so they can go twice a week until they die of anemia, raising the costs of safety testing and generally being injurious to public health. Of course, everyone else involved in the process gets paid, just not the donors – quite dearly, as you’ll learn if you’re ever on the receiving end of a transfusion.

    Plasma is paid because it falls under a different regulation and their research and industrial customers don’t care that the plasma came from a crack whore.