• 1 Post
  • 29 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: June 16th, 2023

help-circle




  • Total votes cast: 143,000,000

    Percentage of voters who are women: 54%

    Number of female voters: 143,000,000 × 0.54 = 77,220,000

    Percentage of women who voted for Harris: 54%

    Estimated number of women who voted for Harris: 77,220,000 × 0.54 ≈ 41,698,800

    This is a rough estimate. More complete data will become available later.

    I think that’s enough people to have an impact

    1. Assumptions:

    We assume that 41.7 million women strictly adhere to the B4 movement.

    This group represents a significant share of women of childbearing age (usually defined as 15-44 years in demographic studies).

    We estimate the average U.S. woman has around 1.7 children over her lifetime, aligning with current U.S. fertility rates.

    1. Impact on Births:

    41.7 million women choosing not to have children would mean approximately 1.7 fewer children per woman, over their lifetimes.

    This would potentially prevent around 70.9 million births (41.7 million x 1.7) in the long term, assuming these women otherwise would have had children.

    1. Annual Impact:

    Spread over an average reproductive lifetime (roughly 30 years), this impact would reduce the birth rate by about 2.36 million births annually (70.9 million divided by 30 years).

    Annual U.S. births could drop from 3.6 million to approximately 1.24 million, which is a ~65% decrease in the birth rate.