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Cake day: March 24th, 2022

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  • China had the US in a significantly compromised position and instead of pressing this, just decided to go back to business as usual without securing significant concessions as they likely could have. As anyone aware should know, being friendly to the US probably wont lead to the US later returning the favor, so the benefits of getting along don’t really exist. This is really just the US saying ‘let’s just pretend the last month where we significantly weakened our bargaining position didn’t happen’ and China says ok.


  • China did what many expected and pretty clearly capitulated. Probably the correct choice for their interest in fostering world trade but also majorly bailed out the US at a time where if they had any interest they could have placed considerable pressure on the US economy. Any expectation we have of a Chinese conflict with the US needs to be considerably tempered after this. They still have no interest in serving as opposition to the US and when they do, it’s like with the Russians and only after they are forced by the west.




  • That’s exactly why capturing it physically makes no sense. It’s already controlled territory for all intents and purposes. Begging the people of Greenland to form an insurgency by invading the country, all so the US can own the territory on paper (more so than being part of NATO already makes it) has no benefit whatsoever.

    Making deals to build more bases is exactly what Harris would do to accomplish the goal Trump is interested in. But that’s exactly business as usual, the polar opposite of threatening to invade.

    Maybe I’m not understanding your point. You saying Harris would make deals to get more bases undermines the idea that Harris would be threatening Canada and Greenland with capture—which is what Trump is now doing. I thought you were saying that Harris would also be threatening to invade Greenland. That’s a ridiculous notion. Harris building bases in Greenland and deploying more troops to the arctic certainly isn’t, but a Harris govt (and any other presidential admin in memory, even Trump 1, when he was surrounded by old guard Bush republicans) would get the blessing of Denmark and Greenland to do it.

    Do you not see a difference between making a deal with Denmark and Greenland to build bases vs the US threatening to take the land and personally physically administer all of Greenland? If you’re of the mind that it ultimately doesn’t matter how US troops end up in Greenland, whether as welcomed troops of an allied power, or an invading force, that may be our point of contention. I think that difference between new US troops in Greenland being perceived as ally or invader has huge implications for how the Euros and Canadians understand their relationship with the US from here forward.



  • To your point, I think people substantially overstate how different it would be, but Trump’s threats to capture Canada and Greenland, the arbitrarily imposed and lifted tariffs, and humiliating Euro allies in a way that causes even the sycophants over there to try and do something about it, wouldn’t have happened under Harris. I think the Trump admin is accelerating the decline of the US to the point that I’m no longer concerned the US empire will manage to limp along until climate change makes the planet uninhabitable. A long line of uninterrupted Obama-style admins could have kept the empire rolling for decades longer than could possibly be managed after this Trump admin.


  • Prior to the second Trump admin, I think what you’re saying is undeniable. Trump 2 is a bit of a new animal though. His intense breaks from previous foreign affairs and financial moves in opposition to the steadiness and easy predictability loved by big capital is a paradigm shift away from business as usual. We’re in uncharted waters right now I think. That’s not to say the dems will in anyway rise to protecting the previous govt paradigm, as you put it well, they aren’t there to be opposition.






  • When I say recovered memory, I intend to refer to a specific therapy technique that is full stop no longer used by anyone at all credible in the field. ‘Body keeps the score’ is a very popular book for clinicians to recommend to patients, so while I haven’t read it I imagine it’s not espousing what I intended to refer to and likely isn’t especially controversial. Though, I would caution you that’s it’s a book for popular audiences not a scientific paper, so the language contained within may not be the most precise among those trained in the field—especially a decade plus after its first publication. With that said, I wouldn’t say my own perspective on memory and trauma is necessarily in opposition to what ‘Body keeps…’ is saying.