Bistable multivibrator
Non-state actor
Tabs for AI indentation, spaces for AI alignment
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  • 10 Posts
  • 114 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 6th, 2023

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  • AWS is only tolerated because product managers ask for it, not because engineers like it; AWS is shit.

    Yes, but the competition is hardly much better. Well, maybe Google is, I didn’t touch it much back when I still did public cloud stuff. Azure leads with “look, our VPS offering is called ‘Virtual Machines’ instead of ‘EC2’, isn’t that simple?” and then proceeds to make everything even clunkier and more complicated than AWS. And don’t get me started on the difference in technical and customer support from the two.

    There is no moat.

    You keep reiterating this, but I still need you to explain the implications. Ok sure, you can run a model on a home computer. Nonwithstanding that those models still amount to overhyped novelty toys, home computers are also capable of running servers, databases, APIs, office suites, you name it. Still, corporations and even consumers are renting these as SaaS and will continue to do so in the foreseeable future.

    The AI fad is highly hype driven, so there’s still incentive to be the one who trains the latest, biggest and shiniest model, and that still takes datacenters’ worth of specialized compute and training data. LLM-based AI is an industry built on FOMO. How long until that shiny new LLM torrent you got from 4chan is so last season?

    And the OP is correct. Llama is not open source. “The neighbors” only took it from Meta in the same sense warez sites have taken software forever. Only in this case the developer was the one committing the copyright infringement.












  • I’m almost surprised Yud is so clueless about election systems.

    He’s (lol) supposedly super into math and game theory so the failure mode I expected was for him to come up with some byzantine time-independent voting method that minimizes acausal spoiler effect at the cost of condorcet criterion or whatever. Or rather, I would have expected him to claim he’s working on such a thing and throwing all these buzzwords around. Like in MOR where he knows enough advanced science words to at least sound like he knows physics beyond high school level.

    Now I have to update my priors to take into account that he barely knows what an electoral system is. It’s a bit like if the otherwise dumb guy who still seems a huge military nerd suddenly said “the only assault gun worse than the SA80 is the .223”. For once you’d expect him to know enough to make a dumb hot take instead of just spouting gibberish but no.



  • It’s fractally wrong and bonkers even by Yud tweet standards.

    The worst common electoral system after First Past The Post - possibly even a worse one - is the parliamentary republic

    I’ll charitably assume based on this he just means proportional representation in general. Specifically he seems to be thinking of a party list type method, but other proportional electoral systems exist and some of them like D’Hondt and various STV methods do involve voting for individuals and not just parties.

    with its absurd alliances and frequently falling governments

    The alliances are often thought of as a feature, but it’s also a valid, if subjective, criticism. Not sure what he means by “frequently falling governments”, though. The UK uses FPTP and their PMs seem to resign quite regularly.

    A possible amendment is to require 60% approval to replace a Chief Executive; who otherwise serves indefinitely, and appoints their own successor if no 60% majority can be scraped together.

    Why 60%? Why not 50% or 70% or two thirds? Approval of whom, the parliament or the population? Would this be approval in the sense of approval voting where you can express approval for multiple candidates or in the sense of the candidate being the voter’s first choice à la FPTP? What does the role of a dictator Chief Executive involve? Would it be analogous to something like POTUS, or perhaps PM of the UK or maybe some other country?

    The parliament’s main job would be legislation, not seizing the spoils of the executive branch of government on a regular basis.

    Good news! In most parliamentary republics that is already the main job of the parliament, at least on paper. If you want to start nitpicking the “on paper” part, you might want to elaborate on how your system would prevent this kind of abuse.

    Anything like this ever been tried historically?

    Yea there’s a long historical tradition of states led by an indefinitely serving chief executive, who would pass the office to his chosen successor. A different candidate winning the supermajority approval has typically been seen as the exception rather than the rule under such systems, but notable exceptions to this exist. One in 1776 saw a change of Chief Executive in some British overseas colonies, another one in late 18th century France ended the dynasty of their Chief Executive, and a later one in 1917 had the Russian Chief Executive Nikolai Alexandrovich Romanov lose the office to a firebrand progressive leader.

    ChatGPT was incapable of understanding the question.

    Now to be fair to ChatGPT, it seems that even the famed genius polymath Eliezer Yudkowsky failed to understand his own question.


  • Design principles for a time machine

    Yes, a real, proper time machine like in sci-fi movies. Yea I know how to build it, as this design principles document will demonstrate. Remember to credit me for my pioneering ideas when you build it, ok?

    1. Feasibility: if you want to build a time machine, you will have to build a time machine. Ideally, the design should break as few laws of physics as possible.
    2. Goodness: the machine should be functional, robust, and work correctly as much as necessary. Care should be taken to avoid defects in design and manufacturing. A good time machine is better than a bad time machine in some key aspects.
    3. Minimize downsides: the machine should not cause exessive harm to an unacceptable degree. Mainly, the costs should be kept low.
    4. Cool factor: is the RGB lighting craze still going? I dunno, flame decals or woodgrain finish would be pretty fun in a funny retro way.
    5. Incremental improvement: we might wanna start with a smaller and more limited time machine and then make them gradually bigger and better. I may or may not have gotten a college degree allowing me to make this mindblowing observation, but if I didn’t, I’ll make sure to spin it as me being just too damn smart and innovative for Harvard Business School.


  • what if my init system was a Prolog runtime?

    Not only can you describe the desired system state and have your init figure out dependencies, you can list just the dependencies and have your init set up all possible system states until you find one to your liking!

    what if it too was emacs?

    Emacs as pid 1 is a classic of the genre, but a prolog too? Wouldn’t a Kanren make more sense or is elisp not good for that?

    Sounds like the real horseshoe theory is that nerds of all kinds of heterodox political stripes will eventually reinvent/discover Lisp and get freaky with it. A common thread connecting at least RMS, PG, Eich, Moldbug, suzuran, jart, Aphyr, self and me.