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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • Right but this is an easy win for Starmer. Something very unpopular you can scrap, that is costly, that even if you’re a bigot you can recognise isn’t working, etc. That’s something you can instantly do to create the impression you’re very different to the previous party. And the impression, per your comment, is impactful. It really doesn’t say much one way or the other about more important policies (e.g. like the Tory cuts that he said pre-election he would not axe).


  • I mean, the FPTP system is fucked – that aside… For your stat to be right, wouldn’t you have to calculate it also in terms of the number of constituents to a given constituency? E.g., Constituency A has 10 constituents, Constituency B has 15 constituents, and Constituency C has 100 constituents; both A + B have a non-Lab/Cons party in first or second place; C has Lab first and Cons second. In that scenario, it wouldn’t be true that “most people” live in a constituency where Lab or Cons are not both 1st or 2nd (where A-C is exhaustive).

    I don’t know how that would extrapolate to the real constituencies with their varying population/electorate figures. Certainly, it’s a very uneven and strange system at present, which allows for all sorts of gerrymandering. But only given the sum of 20 constituencies (per your calculation) where Lab/Cons are not the top two, I don’t think you can infer the situation for most people.

    In any case: fuck this system, PR soon please.