given that Edo era Japan did not have biofuels

Wood is biofuel.

to summarize in a different way the arguments of the person you are debating with i would say just look around you, how much have we weaned from fossil fuels.

in 1993 the sum of nuclear and renewables in our global energy mix was 14%, 30 years later in 2023 it is 18.5%. our total energy usage is massively higher and fossil fuel use is massively higher over those 30 years.

Its too little too late scenario. Sure its technically possible we could replace FFs with renewables and nuclear but thats not where we are at yet or in the next 50 years at this pace. Now depending on what you think the depletion curve of FFs looks like will tell you if it will be possible or not. the data doesnt look good for a smooth transition. At best the scenario is a severe bottleneck unless we pull some unprecedented exponential changes in renewable and nuclear deployment.

I stayed in lousiana near the gulf for a while and passed through there a few times over the past 5 years. Its incredible how much of the stuff never rebuilt, not just from katrina but all the damage since in multiple cities just entire areas where 60% of the houses have blue tarps on the roofs and knocked over trees and collapsed sheds/fences never dealt with. It gets noticeably worse each time i pass through. It is not all just the poorest areas either, its areas where you would think people would have insurance coverage but at this point insurance is falling into “discretionary” spending category as people need to just buy necessities and hope for the best. there are parts that look like post-collapse movie or something where people just do whatever makeshift ghetto rigged patches and stay.

let me know if chart shows up. its not working for me for some reason, other mods delete post if im not awake to deal with it after confirming no chart visible to anyone else either

queue AENIMA background track

If this stays in the hands of judges and elites you wont win. People should storm the court house. full strength mob all the extinction rebellion people jan6th style, just go in and strike fear into the minds of these people.

In houston, too humid for evaporative cooling to work.

IF it was me i would buy the smallest most efficient AC and run it on solar panels bought off used resale sites that have them for 1/3rd new price you can build a simple super insulated miniroom with those rigid insulation panels taped together.

direct thermal industrial processes.

There’s a lot I don’t like about electric vehicles: it’s a bandaid solution to what replacing suburban sprawl with walkable and bikable cities would actually fix, but it would still shift some of the transportation emissions into the electricity generation category which we seem to want to tackle.

electric bikes and mixed zoning could make a huge efficiency change for the west. a few solar panels are enough to charge electric bikes at the household level. I wish some economist would look at how much percent of all fossil fuel dependent commuting could be eliminated with this combo

yeah secular cycles is great , particularly if you want a map of post fossil fuel future if we fumble the energy transition long term, the malthusianish cycles will start again. his blog is good too.

yeah lol. i mean elizabeth warren is a vicious neoliberal authoritarian cunt but she has no political power or support. but bernie and aoc are both moderate principled politicians for the most part.

For a better take on what dalios saying better to read peter turchin and avoid the billionaire capitalist cockamamie version

an extraordinary streak of 415 days above previous highs and we just crossed back to the previous year level

So basically you are poopooing an article you didnt read because you got bothered by one decontextualized pull quote.

“The article might have been well-informed and factual, but starting with such an absurd premise, I couldn’t maintain interest long enough to find out.”

why bother commenting if you haven’t read it or even knowing if the “absurd premise” is even in fact a premise required to support the rest of the thing?