• 3 Posts
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 29th, 2023

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  • I guess anti-communist fears and libertarian bias outweighs their fetishization of East Asians when it comes to the CCP?

    I haven’t seen any articles on the EA forums about spreading to China… China does have billionaires and philanthropists, but, judging by Jack Ma’s example, when they start talking big about altering society (in ways that just so happen to benefit the billionaires), they get to take a vacation from the public eye for a few months… so that might get in the way of EA billionaire activism?





  • Ultra ultra high end gaming? Okay, looking at the link, 94 GB of GPU memory is probably excessive even for eccentrics cranking the graphics settings all the way up. Hobbyists with way too much money trying to screw around with open weight models even after the bubble bursts? Which would presume LLMs or something similar continue to capture hobbyists’ interests and that smaller models can’t satisfy their interests. Crypto mining with algorithms compatible with GPUs? And cyrpto is its own scam ecosystem, but one that seems to refuse to die permanently.

    I think the ultra high end gaming is the closest to a workable market, and even that would require a substantial discount.



  • It’s really the perfect opportunity for integration! They can steal the data and content of their own users, instead of other people’s users, and then they can serve their slop directly to their own users instead of users having to generate and export their slop to other people’s social media sites. And both of these applications can distract from the fact that AGI isn’t happening and even more modest LLM agents aren’t practically useful. And since Altman already built up a user base on ChatGPT, he’ll have a head start on getting a critical mass of users!

    Thinking about it… something like this is probably Altman’s best bet for making OpenAI’s financials work out, because as David Gerard and Ed Zitron and others have all pointed out, they are losing money per LLM user, so they really do need a way to convert a huge user base into money that doesn’t involve LLMs.


  • That feels like a fitting ironic fate, a company selling AI slopcode generation looses a bunch of users from believing their own bullshit and using an LLM as customer support. Hopefully that story repeated a few dozen times across other businesses and the business majors stop pushing LLM usage.

    Edit… looking at the orange site comments… some unironically cited Anthropic research marketing hype, which (correctly) shows “Chain-of-Thought” is often bullshit unrelated to the final answer (but it’s Anthropic, so the label it as deception and unfaithfulness instead of the entire approach being bullshit in general).













  • Serious question: what are people’s specific predictions for the coming VC bubble popping/crash/AI winter? (I’ve seen that prediction here before, and overall I agree, but I’m not sure about specifics…)

    For example… I’ve seen speculation that giving up on the massive training runs could free up compute and cause costs to drop which the more streamlined and pragmatic GenAI companies could use to pivot to providing their “services” at sustainable rates (and the price of GPUs would drop to the relief of gamers everywhere). Alternatively, maybe the bubble bursting screws up the GPU producers and cloud service providers as well and the costs on compute and GPUs don’t actually drop that much if any?

    Maybe the bubble bursting makes management stop pushing stuff like vibe coding… but maybe enough programmers have gotten into the habit of using LLMs for boilerplate that it doesn’t go away, and LLM tools and plugins persist to make code shittery.


  • which I estimate is going to slide back out of affordability by the end of 2026.

    You don’t think the coming crash is going to drive compute costs down? I think the VC money for training runs drying up could drive down costs substantially… but maybe the crash hits other aspects of the supply chain and cost of GPUs and compute goes back up.

    He doubles down on copyright despite building businesses that profit from Free Software. And, most gratingly, he talks about the Pareto principle while ignoring that the typical musician is never able to make a career out of their art.

    Yeah this shit grates so much. Copyright is so often a tool of capital to extract rent from other people’s labor.