Key quote:

Bidenā€™s defiance against calls for him to leave the presidential campaign after last monthā€™s debate have only worsened his chances in November, Cook Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter wrote.

ā€œBiden was losing pre-debate. Now, heā€™s losing by a bit more,ā€ she said, adding that the possibility Biden leaves the race at this point is ā€œremote.ā€

Citing postdebate polling, Cook announced it will move Minnesota, New Hampshire and Nebraskaā€™s 2nd Congressional District from ā€œLikely Democraticā€ to ā€œLean Democratic.ā€ The group also moved Nevada, Arizona and Georgia from ā€œTossupā€ to ā€œLean Republican.ā€

  • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    8
    Ā·
    2 months ago

    It can be flawed, which is why you track multiple polls over time.

    Using the same process outlined above, I watched these states go from pro-Biden, to toss-up, to pro-Trump, and now stronger pro-Trump.

    Itā€™s less about the actual numbers and more about the momentum. Bidenā€™s campaign is running out of steam, Trumpā€™s is gaining momentum.

    • JimSamtanko@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      8
      arrow-down
      5
      Ā·
      edit-2
      2 months ago

      Well, I can honestly say that as a cis white male, I will have little to worry about when Biden looses. And if I left it at this, no one would ever hear from me.

      But I have LGBTQ in my family, my blood. And many friends that will be hurt by another four years of Trump.

      Soā€¦ this is where weā€™re at.

      You have a shit ton of people in your community- urging people to not vote because ā€œold!ā€ While a rapist/convicted felon is waltzing right through the mess, not even being questioned about how or why he lied in every answer he gave.

      These people are fucking lunatics man. This should be a no brainer. Bidenā€™s podium could poll worse than Trump and Iā€™d vote for it.

      These people are willing to destroy a nation if it means an old man is not elected. Note how I didnā€™t say genocide supporter- yeah. Itā€™s a non issue now with them. Did you notice?

      • Zaktor@sopuli.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        1
        Ā·
        2 months ago

        Ah, one of those steadfast LGBTQ allies who also hates SJWs. Thatā€™s a coherent personality, but most of the examples of it are Republicans who discovered the leopards would eat their loved ones faces (or usually that their loved ones were revealed as leopard prey), but then didnā€™t evaluate any of the other social propaganda they had bought into.

        • JimSamtanko@lemm.ee
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          arrow-down
          3
          Ā·
          edit-2
          2 months ago

          Riiight. Cool story. I especially LOVE how you created an entire persona for me having had a brief conversation of no more than a few paragraphs.

          Speaks volumes about how seriously you should be taken. Listen up, You have no clue who I am, what I do- and who I care forā€¦ and the fact that you found yourself in a situation where you thought making assumptions would be a good idea, doesnā€™t just show who you are, it proves my point.

          • Zaktor@sopuli.xyz
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            3
            arrow-down
            2
            Ā·
            2 months ago

            Man, you basically confirmed it in your other comment. Youā€™re an enlightened centrist worried about SJWs, which in this political environment is basically almost entirely Never Trump Republicans that want Trumpā€™s threat to democracy to pass on by but havenā€™t considered how any of their other political beliefs might have lead to Trump gaining power in the first place.

            Sure, the right is hurtling headlong into fascism and the left has been dominated by moderates for the last 40 years, but whatā€™s equally important is whether someone tells you you should change your language to be more sensitive. Youā€™re right in the center, rising above it, everything in perfect balance!