Yes, no
I truly do not think Americans will ever revolt in a way that overthrows capitalism. They will just descend into barbarism. The way I see it going is not much different than Nazi Germany but far less competently and they won’t have to hide the atrocities. This is the way I personally see it.
The descent into fascism kicks up. The “conservatives” salivate and scream in joy as minorities of all walks get put into camps. Liberals feign outrage but also they laugh and scream at stories of “this Latino voted for Trump, now she’s sad because she being raped to death in a camp.” This shits all over reddit.
Mixed into the fold will be true left leaning people and LGBTQ+. Only the liberals will change their tune. They will say “guess you should have voted for Biden harder. You deserve death for not supporting the blue genocider fascist.” While still laughing at the " leopards are my face" meme subreddit.
This part I assume is a definite. The next bit is some unknowns but I feel most just turns into absolute barbarism.
If the US collapses from within, I’ll be just fascist infighting and devil e to barbarism. The American populace is simply too far gone, too propagandized and stupid, to do a socialism. It’ll be every man for themselves. They will rip themselves apart because the only people that hates Americans more that people outside America, are other Americans. We HATE each other. They will never work together for a common good. The ones that would will be long dead in a mass grave. Those that are left will be the ones that cheered it on.
If, on the other hand, the US goes to war, and the world fights back, nukes will probably fly. So it’ll probably be the end of human civilization. If by some miracle it’s not, I think the US will lose a major confrontation. This is actually the only hope of socialism taking hold, assuming China takes a major part in control of the broken nation. If they don’t and leave us to our own devices… It’ll just be more barbarism.
There other options I can imagine besides these but realistically, I do not see many options that involve the US populace itself, implementing a better system.
Sorry if this seems doomer, it I truly, truly do not believe the American populace will ever overthrow the current system with the intent of implementing a better one. Hate, bigotry, individualism, etc, is engrained into our existence.
The imperial core countries will be the last to have a revolutionion.
I don’t think civilization has hundreds of years left. Between climate change and nuclear proliferation, if we don’t destroy capitalism soon it is going to destroy us. It’s do or die.
Sure, but I don’t think that most people know this. I honestly don’t think that most people know about socialism and communism.
Just let me know when shooting fascist is legalised again, that would be a good start. The whole house of cards will come tumbling down maybe 20 or so years.
I feel like there’s no theory behind what kind of revolution can take place in the global north, at least none that I’m not aware of. We’re still going off of past revolutions which happened in times where the societies were much different and the technological level was alot lower. Curious what others think could be a possible avenue for revolution.
The only thing that’s set in stone is the past and that’s only because it has already happened. Predictions can be useful if applied alongside action (ex: “the weather prediction says it will rain on Thursday, so I will go the baseball game on Tuesday instead”). Without the action, they mean little. Things can reach a tipping point in one area or another, unforeseen crises can arise, and throughout it all, there are multiple factions vying for power, whether for selfish reasons, such as fascism, or humanitarian ones, such as anti-imperialism, decolonization, and liberation of the working class. Aid in the humanitarian struggle where you can; that’s where dire predictions are transformed into optimistic ones.
I believe we’re building towards a revolution, but whether it is successful or not remains to be seen.
Despite what you might see from weird guys on the Internet, grassroots-level Socialist politics are as active in America as they’ve been since the Red Scare. Big Things are Happening. In parts of the country where 20 years ago there were just Anarchists doing drugs in bars and 5 radlibs attending City councils, there are explicitly Marxist political parties with dozens of members organizing protests and events that draw hundreds of attendees. Every year interest and applications grow exponentially.
They say we’re supposed to have Revolutionary Optimism, but personally, I don’t really care one way or another if we win - I’m just mad, I have nothing to lose, and I want to fight.
I don’t really care one way or another if we win
Makes a lot of sense now, actually.
Do you have some sources on this because I thought that in America we were doing nothing.
They don’t respond.
I’m in an org and I’m basing my entire frame of reference on our recruitment numbers and attendance for our local events
We should remember that there wasn’t even a socialist party in Russia till 1898. That’s 19 years before the revolution and that party had a major split in 1903 that created the Bolshevik party. Lenin, Stalin, and Trotsky were just the shit posters of their time. There were lots of other voices and ideas floating around. I’m sure many people condemned them for not being grounded in the real world the same way some of todays leftists get called “terminally online.”
Say Trump declared an end to term limits and imprisoned opposition in few states. Then invaded Canada and Mexico while setting up concentration camps. Russia and China back the Mexicans (lets face it canada would probably buckle in weeks) Americans start getting conscripted. War starts getting protracted, Trump fires generals for incompetence or because they are too competent and he is getting paranoid of them. The replacement generals see the insanity and decide they need to act to end the meaningless war and trump. So you get a coup maybe the socialists take over maybe you get a junta. Junta is followed by elections at some point, maybe that cycle repeats a few times and maybe when its over its socialist.
This could all happen in the space 20 years. I wont say “its likely” but it isn’t without precedent.
Writerism shakes fist
Nothing was ever achieved by people writing and sharing political theory and analysis of current material conditions.
And people definitely shouldn’t read what is to be done.
It is very easy to feel like it’s never going to happen.
One of the biggest reasons FDR implemented the New Deal, was because there were groups advocating for communism and socialism in the US and it was not a far fetched prospect.
https://jacobin.com/2019/10/highlander-folk-school-socialist-party-new-deal
The more we organize and unionize, the more it’s possible!
In the US the discontentment towards the status quo is certainly there, the organization and educational awareness isn’t.
Do you think that there is some hope on getting the latter before total climate collapse?
Some hope? Yeah, 60 years is a lot of time for things to change massively. Much hope? No, while there is a raw desire for revolutionary change present within the US, it’s in dire need of being refined towards a socialist direction and ruling class’s grip is tight enough to not let that happen.
Hope is a misnomer. If people had no hope, then all would be lost, and there would be no point in trying.
I always say that if you never admit defeat, you can’t lose. So never give up or admit defeat.
Refusing to give up, is the hardest part. The easier part is actually winning.
If you ever feel down, something to keep in mind is that even Vladimir Lenin never believed that a communist revolution would never occur in his lifetime. And then 1917 happened.
It will happen in 2026. But it will be a fascist revolution
I hope so. Natives, LGBTQ, BIPOC, will unite against White Supremacy. AfD, Reform, GOP, Conservatives of Canada will fail fast.
I wonder if they will choose socialism though and not just social democracy
that’s what happened in mexico and why amlo and sheinbaum are in charge… or at least until the americans start bombing and invading to destablize and foment regime change … again.
Speaking of uniting. That’s something I was interested by like smack dab in the beginning of 2022, but then war in Ukraine flared up and my attention was consumed by the resulting shitstorm ever since. Actually, observing US’ culture wars did a lot to push me towards class consciousness.
Is that realistic in the US? Because what limited info I can get from the Internet suggests that libs greatly succeded in atomising the hell out of workers in the US into self-segregating minority communities and separating them from the majority of white workers with superstructure-focused euroleft brainrot.
I’m genuinely curious, thanks in advance for your perspectives.
P. S. If someone can write a post about this, that would be even more awesome.
Doubt any type of revolution will happen. As long as people are just comfortable enough to survive, they’ll gladly enjoy a worse quality of life, especially if they’re told that other countries have it worse
No type of revolution? Do not underestimate the transformation of quantity into quality. Every week seems to be a decade recently. Just because some people are comfortable-ish now doesn’t mean that any one of the massive crises we are constantly on the brink of will spill over enough to cause more radical shifts.
:inshallah:
They might fail or be aborted, but I actually think we might see something happen in the next 20 years tops for at least some global north countries. Living conditions are worsening quickly with no relief in sight, and unless the ruling classes manage to find some pressure valve I think it’s gonna blow up soon.
I wouldn’t be surprised if there were more “riots” and maybe a much larger scale CHAZ-like occupation in the US or more militant Gilets Jaunes protests in France, among other things. Sadly I don’t foresee a Marxist-Leninist revolution any time soon for most of these countries (Greece maybe?), but then again nobody in 1902 expected 1905, and few people even in February 1917 expected October 19017.
Well i dont know of any vanguard parties in any global north nations that are even a little bit successful. Their economies will have to collapse first then we will see how long it takes for some to start forming. Kinda depends if once China becomes the dominant world power they start really pushing for the world revolution. Apparently they plan to by 2050 so maybe with their support youd see some serious parties start to form. I think a lot of global north nations just wont exist anymore. Most of them have a lot of internal divisions. Theyll probably break up. Not all but some will.
Do you have a source on the 2050 China thing?
Only that a chinese person i was talking to mentioned it thats why i said apparently cuz i cant confirm it.
So much can change between now and 2050, I would not rely on that (plus we’ll all be old or dead by then)
2050 is only 25 years away. Unless ur already pretty old youll still be around.
Did they release a statement on pushing for global revolution by 2050 or something?
i spoke to a chinese netizen who said its part of their long term plan.
Did they provide any reading or speeches? Not that I don’t believe you but it would be nice to see some concrete stuff
sorry its just something i had mentioned to me like a month ago thats why i put apparently in there because i cant exactly confirm it. I dont know chinese well enough yet to check if its in their official statements. I dont think thats the sort of things theyre gonna do an english language press release about.