• UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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    7 months ago

    I should note that Obama had a sub-50 approval rating in 2012 when he beat Mitt Romney. But Romney also wasn’t pulling in record-breaking primary vote totals or seeing huge groundswells of MAGA-tier support.

    Biden coasted to victory in 2020 thanks to a pandemic everybody hated and four years of Trump fresh in their minds. I don’t think he has those advantages anymore.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      7 months ago

      Biden coasted to victory in 2020

      What?

      Are you talking about popular vote? That sadly doesn’t matter.

      Biden won a handful of states by razor thin margins, which got him the presidency. And it took his campaign spending a literal billion dollars to accomplish that

      https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/09/politics/2020-election-trump-biden-closest-states/index.html

      And he’s less popular now… Not just nationwide, but in state polling for those states.

      We don’t live in a direct democracy, so you have to look kinda close to see what’s happening.

      • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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        7 months ago

        Biden won a handful of states by razor thin margins

        Biden’s margins improved substantially from election day, as the mail-in ballots filled up the vote count. Pennsylvania’s margin grew by 80,000 votes from the razor thin win he had when polls closed. He won states Democrats hadn’t taken since the 1970s. He nearly swept the Midwest, with the tipping point state of his win being Wisconsin.

        And he’s less popular now… Not just nationwide, but in state polling for those states.

        Oh yeah. He’s absolutely fucked now. Very real chance he loses in a landside in 2024 as all of those Obama-Trump-Biden states flip back into Trump’s column.

        • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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          7 months ago

          Pennsylvania’s

          I didn’t know he won his home state by that much

          He won states Democrats hadn’t taken since the 1970s.

          What states? Don’t feel like you have to list them all, but you said plural so at least two of you wouldn’t mind.

          I tried googling it and didn’t find much