We are beginning to approach the first cfp rankings. If you’re interested in the cfp prize, be sure to submit some ballots!
- Oregon
- Texas
- Penn State
- Miami
- Ohio State
- Georgia
- Iowa State
- BYU
- Alabama
- LSU
- Clemson
- Boise State
- Texas A&M
- Tennessee
- Notre Dame
- Pitt
- Indiana
- Kansas State
- Ole Miss
- SMU
- Missouri
- Army
- Navy
- Arizona State
- Liberty
Human poll. Quick overview. I try to make the poll a blind resume, as in I don’t care about head to head. I prefer consistency over peaks (2 wins over a mid program will rank higher than a win against a top and a loss to a bottom. ). 3. If you are 5-0 or better, you get an auto ranking.
Just for fun, because the end was really hard, here are my next 5 out, not in any particular order
Illinois, Syracuse, Texas Tech, UNLV, Washington State
This was a fun week to try and solve. I don’t love a bunch of my placements, but it sure is fun.
My ballot. Computer poll. Glad to see it’s giving props to Army, which was preseason #105. The way the algorithm is designed and the way a lot of G5 teams’ schedules are structured, it’s hard for G5 teams to get ranked (e.g. it still has Boise unranked, sitting at #35).
I’m also amused by some of the big swings over the course of the season: Wisconsin is this week’s biggest mover (+40 spots) and looking back the computer had them at 14th in Week 1, all the way down to 118th in Week 4, and now back up to 33rd.
Full ranking:
Rank Change Team Record Points 1 - Texas 6-0 479 2 - Ohio State 5-1 425 3 - Ole Miss 5-2 419 4 +5 Notre Dame 5-1 413 5 -1 Alabama 5-1 408 6 +7 Clemson 5-1 394 7 +1 Penn State 6-0 380 8 +5 Tennessee 5-1 361 9 +9 Georgia Tech 5-2 353 10 -5 Indiana 6-0 352 11 +4 USC 3-3 350 T12 +22 Oregon 6-0 348 T12 +10 Iowa State 6-0 348 14 +13 BYU 6-0 347 15 -9 Miami (FL) 6-0 342 16 +8 Georgia 5-1 338 17 +9 Minnesota 4-3 334 T18 +13 Army 6-0 331 T18 +13 Arizona State 5-1 331 20 -3 Washington 4-3 329 21 -14 Texas A&M 5-1 326 22 +13 JMU 5-1 322 23 -14 Virginia Tech 3-3 321 24 +1 Kentucky 3-3 320 25 +8 UNLV 5-1 318 26 +12 Vanderbilt 4-2 316 27 -16 SMU 5-1 314 T28 +17 LSU 5-1 309 T28 -16 Nebraska 5-1 309 T28 +7 South Carolina 3-3 309 31 -15 Arkansas 4-2 302 32 +8 Pittsburgh 6-0 300 33 +40 Wisconsin 4-2 298 34 +9 Cincinnati 4-2 297 35 +12 Boise State 5-1 294 T36 -7 Oklahoma 4-2 291 T36 -17 Tulane 4-2 291 38 +30 Missouri 5-1 290 T39 -19 Michigan 4-2 288 T39 +14 Louisville 4-2 288 T39 +36 Northwestern 3-3 288 42 +20 Texas State 4-2 287 T43 +14 Kansas State 5-1 286 T43 -22 Boston College 4-2 286 T43 +24 Jacksonville State 3-3 286 T46 -24 Sam Houston 5-1 282 T46 +7 Northern Illinois 4-2 282 T46 +28 Iowa 4-2 282 49 +14 Syracuse 5-1 281 50 +8 Illinois 5-1 279 51 - Colorado 4-2 278 T52 -1 Utah 4-2 277 T52 -5 North Carolina 3-4 277 T54 -26 Texas Tech 5-1 272 T54 +9 California 3-3 272 56 +13 Memphis 5-1 270 57 -27 Duke 5-1 267 58 +8 Virginia 4-2 261 59 +12 Louisiana 5-1 259 T60 -25 Connecticut 4-2 257 T60 +5 West Virginia 3-3 257 T62 -3 Toledo 4-2 256 T62 -2 Arizona 3-3 256 T64 -11 Maryland 3-3 253 T64 +12 Florida 3-3 253 66 +11 Washington State 5-1 252 67 -28 TCU 3-3 251 68 +22 Miami (OH) 2-4 247 69 +9 Nevada 3-4 246 70 -17 Rutgers 4-2 245 71 -30 Navy 5-0 243 72 +9 UCF 3-3 241 73 -31 Houston 2-4 240 74 +11 UNT 5-1 239 75 +11 Old Dominion 2-4 238 76 -33 Oklahoma State 3-3 237 77 -32 Baylor 2-4 236 T78 +1 San Jose State 4-2 235 T78 +14 Western Kentucky 4-2 235 T80 -33 Oregon State 4-2 234 T80 +4 Kansas 1-5 234 82 -32 Auburn 2-4 233 83 +5 NC State 3-4 229 84 -24 Florida State 1-5 224 85 +2 Bowling Green 2-4 220 86 -7 Coastal Carolina 4-2 216 T87 +13 UL Monroe 5-1 215 T87 -5 Eastern Michigan 4-2 215 89 +2 Fresno State 3-3 213 90 -21 Michigan State 3-3 212 T91 -20 South Alabama 2-4 211 T91 +1 FIU 2-4 211 93 +4 UCLA 1-5 209 94 +2 Marshall 3-3 208 95 +2 Ohio 4-2 207 96 +6 Liberty 5-0 205 97 +8 Buffalo 4-2 204 98 +9 San Diego State 3-3 197 99 +4 Georgia Southern 4-2 196 100 -17 ECU 3-3 195 101 +11 New Mexico 2-4 191 102 +3 FAU 2-4 189 103 +5 Mississippi State 1-5 188 T104 -16 Charlotte 3-3 186 T104 -10 Wake Forest 2-4 186 T106 +7 Western Michigan 3-3 185 T106 +12 Louisiana Tech 2-3 185 108 +1 Central Michigan 3-3 181 T109 -10 Colorado State 3-3 174 T109 +7 Stanford 2-4 174 111 +5 Rice 2-4 170 112 -17 Troy 1-5 168 113 -2 Hawaii 2-4 164 114 -11 Massachusetts 1-6 163 115 -15 Temple 1-5 161 116 -7 Arkansas State 3-3 160 117 -2 USF 2-4 158 118 +4 UTSA 2-4 155 119 - Wyoming 1-5 154 120 +1 Georgia State 2-3 150 121 -2 Air Force 1-5 148 122 +2 Akron 1-6 145 123 +2 Appalachian State 2-4 140 124 +6 Ball State 2-4 139 125 +7 Purdue 1-5 138 126 -4 UTEP 0-6 135 127 -13 Tulsa 2-4 134 128 -1 Southern Mississippi 1-5 129 129 - Utah State 1-5 124 130 -3 UAB 1-5 116 131 -6 New Mexico State 1-5 115 132 +1 Middle Tennessee 1-5 102 133 +1 Kent State 0-6 99 134 -3 Kennesaw State 0-5 92 Hey everyone! Sorry for being silent the first half of this season…real life got in the way of football polling. But I’m back, and I’ve made some changes to my algorithm from last year. The overview/highlights:
- Fully computer poll, based primarily on the ranking of your opponents and secondarily how much your margin of victory/defeat was
- The full season is re-run each week with the current week’s rankings. So if you beat a top-10 team in Week 1, but later in the season that top-10 team isn’t ranked, then that win doesn’t benefit your current ranking as much as it originally did
- Poll is agnostic towards conference, pre-season rankings, weekly AP polls, etc. There aren’t any name recognition bumps here, it’s purely based on resume
- The number in parenthesis after the team’s name are the behind-the-scenes points that determines the ranking (on a scale from 1 to 134), so you can get an idea of how closely some teams are ranked to each other (an how much stronger Texas is than the next team)
- Texas (1) | 6 - 0 | LW: 2 (+1)
- Oregon (11.79) | 6 - 0 | LW: 3 (+1)
- BYU (13.85) | 6 - 0 | LW: 6 (+3)
- Ohio State (14.85) | 5 - 1 | LW: 1 (-3)
- Indiana (15.21) | 6 - 0 | LW: 5 ( - )
- Penn State (16.25) | 6 - 0 | LW: 4 (-2)
- Iowa State (17.42) | 6 - 0 | LW: 9 (+2)
- Miami (17.69) | 6 - 0 | LW: 8 ( - )
- Alabama (18.09) | 5 - 1 | LW: 7 (-2)
- Army (21.81) | 6 - 0 | LW: 11 (+1)
- Notre Dame (23.17) | 5 - 1 | LW: 16 (+5)
- Navy (23.17) | 5 - 0 | LW: 10 (-2)
- Pittsburgh (23.88) | 6 - 0 | LW: 13 ( - )
- Boise State (26.03) | 5 - 1 | LW: 17 (+3)
- Texas A&M (27.32) | 5 - 1 | LW: 15 ( - )
- Georgia (28.7) | 5 - 1 | LW: 12 (-4)
- Kansas State (28.76) | 5 - 1 | LW: 18 (+1)
- SMU (28.87) | 5 - 1 | LW: 19 (+1)
- Clemson (30.12) | 5 - 1 | LW: 20 (+1)
- James Madison (30.21) | 5 - 1 | LW: 33 (+13)
- Washington State (31.03) | 5 - 1 | LW: 21 ( - )
- Texas Tech (31.81) | 5 - 1 | LW: 24 (+2)
- Missouri (32.18) | 5 - 1 | LW: 26 (+3)
- Tennessee (33.28) | 5 - 1 | LW: 25 (+1)
- Nebraska (34.16) | 5 - 1 | LW: 22 (-3)
Full rankings below:
- LSU (34.27) | 5 - 1 | LW: 28 (+2)
- Syracuse (35.37) | 5 - 1 | LW: 31 (+4)
- Arizona State (36.01) | 5 - 1 | LW: 39 (+11)
- Ole Miss (36.61) | 5 - 2 | LW: 14 (-15)
- UNLV (36.71) | 5 - 1 | LW: 30 ( - )
- Illinois (37.5) | 5 - 1 | LW: 27 (-4)
- Duke (38.71) | 5 - 1 | LW: 35 (+3)
- Liberty (39.58) | 5 - 0 | LW: 37 (+4)
- Louisville (39.67) | 4 - 2 | LW: 50 (+16)
- Memphis (41.24) | 5 - 1 | LW: 44 (+9)
- Iowa (41.55) | 4 - 2 | LW: 54 (+18)
- UL Monroe (41.84) | 5 - 1 | LW: 41 (+4)
- Michigan (43.39) | 4 - 2 | LW: 38 ( - )
- North Texas (43.58) | 5 - 1 | LW: 48 (+9)
- Georgia Tech (43.77) | 5 - 2 | LW: 53 (+13)
- Oklahoma (44.42) | 4 - 2 | LW: 23 (-18)
- Vanderbilt (44.86) | 4 - 2 | LW: 58 (+16)
- Sam Houston (45.08) | 5 - 1 | LW: 46 (+3)
- Cincinnati (45.23) | 4 - 2 | LW: 63 (+19)
- Tulane (45.69) | 4 - 2 | LW: 42 (-3)
- Colorado (48.7) | 4 - 2 | LW: 36 (-10)
- Texas State (48.79) | 4 - 2 | LW: 70 (+23)
- Louisiana (49.1) | 5 - 1 | LW: 60 (+12)
- Wisconsin (49.71) | 4 - 2 | LW: 76 (+27)
- UConn (50.48) | 4 - 2 | LW: 56 (+6)
- Boston College (50.62) | 4 - 2 | LW: 55 (+4)
- Virginia (50.65) | 4 - 2 | LW: 32 (-20)
- Arkansas (50.88) | 4 - 2 | LW: 59 (+6)
- USC (51.22) | 3 - 3 | LW: 47 (-7)
- Washington (51.75) | 4 - 3 | LW: 34 (-21)
- Rutgers (52.49) | 4 - 2 | LW: 29 (-27)
- Western Kentucky (53.07) | 4 - 2 | LW: 67 (+10)
- Northern Illinois (54.39) | 4 - 2 | LW: 78 (+20)
- Virginia Tech (54.43) | 3 - 3 | LW: 65 (+6)
- Georgia Southern (54.53) | 4 - 2 | LW: 71 (+11)
- Oregon State (55.06) | 4 - 2 | LW: 43 (-18)
- Utah (55.59) | 4 - 2 | LW: 40 (-22)
- South Carolina (56.08) | 3 - 3 | LW: 57 (-6)
- Kentucky (56.09) | 3 - 3 | LW: 45 (-19)
- Buffalo (56.37) | 4 - 2 | LW: 80 (+15)
- Toledo (57.07) | 4 - 2 | LW: 51 (-15)
- Minnesota (57.69) | 4 - 3 | LW: 77 (+10)
- Coastal Carolina (58.4) | 4 - 2 | LW: 52 (-16)
- West Virginia (58.63) | 3 - 3 | LW: 61 (-8)
- Florida (61.62) | 3 - 3 | LW: 66 (-4)
- Maryland (61.75) | 3 - 3 | LW: 49 (-22)
- Northwestern (62.35) | 3 - 3 | LW: 90 (+18)
- San José State (62.61) | 4 - 2 | LW: 62 (-11)
- California (63.19) | 3 - 3 | LW: 72 (-2)
- Ohio (63.37) | 4 - 2 | LW: 81 (+6)
- Arizona (64.34) | 3 - 3 | LW: 69 (-7)
- Michigan State (64.52) | 3 - 3 | LW: 75 (-2)
- UCF (64.93) | 3 - 3 | LW: 68 (-10)
- North Carolina (65.53) | 3 - 4 | LW: 74 (-5)
- Oklahoma State (66.64) | 3 - 3 | LW: 79 (-1)
- Eastern Michigan (67.39) | 4 - 2 | LW: 64 (-17)
- Marshall (68.38) | 3 - 3 | LW: 73 (-9)
- Colorado State (71.42) | 3 - 3 | LW: 99 (+16)
- Fresno State (72.24) | 3 - 3 | LW: 82 (-2)
- TCU (72.6) | 3 - 3 | LW: 84 (-1)
- Jacksonville State (74.3) | 3 - 3 | LW: 101 (+15)
- Charlotte (74.37) | 3 - 3 | LW: 89 (+2)
- Nevada (74.59) | 3 - 4 | LW: 105 (+17)
- Western Michigan (75.13) | 3 - 3 | LW: 100 (+11)
- NC State (75.99) | 3 - 4 | LW: 86 (-4)
- Houston (76.27) | 2 - 4 | LW: 92 (+1)
- Baylor (76.48) | 2 - 4 | LW: 87 (-5)
- East Carolina (78) | 3 - 3 | LW: 94 (+1)
- Arkansas State (78.08) | 3 - 3 | LW: 83 (-11)
- Central Michigan (79.2) | 3 - 3 | LW: 88 (-7)
- Auburn (79.98) | 2 - 4 | LW: 98 (+2)
- San Diego State (80.38) | 3 - 3 | LW: 103 (+6)
- Miami (OH) (80.38) | 2 - 4 | LW: 117 (+19)
- Florida Atlantic (81.34) | 2 - 4 | LW: 93 (-6)
- Bowling Green (82.02) | 2 - 4 | LW: 91 (-9)
- Wake Forest (82.03) | 2 - 4 | LW: 85 (-16)
- South Alabama (83.37) | 2 - 4 | LW: 102 ( - )
- Stanford (83.63) | 2 - 4 | LW: 96 (-7)
- South Florida (84.2) | 2 - 4 | LW: 97 (-7)
- Old Dominion (85.25) | 2 - 4 | LW: 114 (+9)
- Georgia State (85.89) | 2 - 3 | LW: 95 (-11)
- Florida International (86.51) | 2 - 4 | LW: 106 (-1)
- Florida State (88.88) | 1 - 5 | LW: 110 (+2)
- UCLA (89.03) | 1 - 5 | LW: 104 (-5)
- Hawai’i (89.81) | 2 - 4 | LW: 107 (-3)
- Kansas (90.35) | 1 - 5 | LW: 111 ( - )
- Rice (90.42) | 2 - 4 | LW: 119 (+7)
- Louisiana Tech (91.46) | 2 - 3 | LW: 126 (+13)
- App State (92.44) | 2 - 4 | LW: 109 (-5)
- Tulsa (92.79) | 2 - 4 | LW: 113 (-2)
- Mississippi State (92.87) | 1 - 5 | LW: 112 (-4)
- UTSA (93.06) | 2 - 4 | LW: 108 (-9)
- Ball State (94.08) | 2 - 4 | LW: 121 (+3)
- Purdue (96.68) | 1 - 5 | LW: 118 (-1)
- Temple (96.75) | 1 - 5 | LW: 115 (-5)
- Troy (98.32) | 1 - 5 | LW: 120 (-1)
- UAB (98.73) | 1 - 5 | LW: 116 (-6)
- New Mexico (104.44) | 2 - 4 | LW: 131 (+8)
- Utah State (106.33) | 1 - 5 | LW: 123 (-1)
- Wyoming (106.69) | 1 - 5 | LW: 124 (-1)
- Massachusetts (109.82) | 1 - 6 | LW: 129 (+3)
- Southern Miss (110.36) | 1 - 5 | LW: 130 (+3)
- Akron (110.89) | 1 - 6 | LW: 125 (-3)
- Middle Tennessee (112.05) | 1 - 5 | LW: 122 (-7)
- New Mexico State (113.79) | 1 - 5 | LW: 128 (-2)
- Air Force (115.68) | 1 - 5 | LW: 127 (-4)
- UTEP (121.12) | 0 - 6 | LW: 133 (+1)
- Kent State (121.21) | 0 - 6 | LW: 132 (-1)
- Kennesaw State (134) | 0 - 5 | LW: 134 ( - )
Welcome back! Hopefully things are going alright now. If you missed it, we’re running a cfp seeding contest this season to try and boost engagement a little as well.
Here’s my ballot, as always my methodology is fuck you I do what I want
- Texas
- Oregon
- Georgia
- LSU
- Miami (FL)
- Tennessee
- Ohio State
- Clemson
- Penn State
- Iowa State
- UNLV
- Notre Dame
- Army
- Indiana
- Alabama
- Nebraska
- BYU
- Michigan
- Boise State
- Navy
- Illinois
- Vanderbilt
- Pittsburgh
- Kentucky
- Oklahoma
Last 2 spots aren’t SEC bias, no siree
1 Oregon 6-0
2 Texas 6-0
3 Penn 6-0
4 tOSU 5-1
5 Georgia 5-1
6 Miami 6-0
7 Iowa St. 6-0
8 BYU 6-0
9 Indiana 6-0
10 Bama 5-1
11 UT 5-1
12 Louisiana St. 5-1
13 AtM 5-1
14 Notre Dame 5-1
15 Clemson 5-1
16 Boise St 5-1
17 Pitt 6-0
18 Arkansas 4-2
19 Vanderbilt 4-2
20 Kansas St. 5-1
21 Ole Miss 5-2
22 Illinois 5-1
23 Mizzou 5-1
24 Army 6-0
25 Navy 5-0You’re welcome.
Here is my ballot from my computer poll:
- Texas
- Indiana
- Oregon
- BYU
- Miami
- Penn State
- Army
- Iowa State
- Ohio State
- Clemson
- James Madison
- Texas Tech
- Pittsburgh
- Navy
- Kansas State
- SMU
- Notre Dame
- Texas A&M
- LSU
- Nebraska
- Boise State
- Sam Houston
- Arizona State
- Ole Miss
- Tennessee
Guess what - I’m back and this week I’m just going to submit my awful computer poll in its completeness because where is the fun in being rational.
I’ve modified the methodology slightly, but it’s still incredibly rudimentary and it hates two loss teams which is good because I hate them too. It still really favors teams that haven’t lost, but I’ve added some SOS and Conference Strength weight, so it kind of keeps teams in check but not really.
- Oregon
- Texas
- BYU
- Pittsburgh
- Miami (FL)
- Indiana
- Penn State
- Iowa State
- Army
- Texas Tech
- Navy
- Liberty
- Kansas State
- Texas A&M
- Clemson
- LSU
- Nebraska
- Boise State
- Notre Dame
- SMU
- Syracuse
- Alabama
- James Madison
- Ohio State
- UL Monroe
Some fun facts: -It rates the SEC highest of all conferences (I have each conference start out level and it adjusts their strength based on out-of-conference performance; I haven’t actually looked at these records so I can’t speak to the validity of it). Followed by: Big Ten, ACC, Big 12, Pac-12 (congrats OSU and WSU for keeping it above the Group of 5 conferences). -It thinks that Florida State has had the more difficult schedule up to this point and that Army has had the softest.
Finally someone comes out and says it, ULM is better than Tennessee!