the Russian Armed Forces have been making constant gains in the Donesk front, and their dominance on all fronts but the northern Luhansk Oblast operation has inspired Ukraine to launch an invasion into the Kursk region so they can have anything at all to leverage in negotiations.
But sure, it’s an “if” situation… and Russia is totally going to lose.
It’s still too early to say whether or not it’s going well, but the Ukrainians have been making decent gains.
I’m assuming the Russian response will come in the coming days or weeks, and the Ukrainian forces will get pushed out. Their stated goal of the operation has already been nullified (and frankly didn’t hold water anyways) so I don’t know if the Ukrainians will invest many of their resources to keeping that front open, but if they do it could have dire consequences to their overall resolve.
Ukraine is already at a serious disadvantage in its manpower and resources, so this operation (at least to me) looks to be an act of desperation. You wouldn’t try something so bold and borderline suicidal if you saw a future otherwise. I won’t say this means the war is ending soon, but I will say that the end of the war may have finally crested the horizon.