• notabot@lemm.ee
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    5 months ago

    You two seem to be somewhat talking at cross purposes.

    As far as I can see, what they’re saying is that the Dem candidate needs to apeal to Dem voters and those who could be persuaded to vote Dem, to ensure their vote. If Biden turns enough of them off and they don’t vote he risks losing. On the other hand dyed in the wool Republican voters probably can’t be turned, so there’s no point trying to apeal to them.

    You seem to be saying that not voting for Biden, despite him being unpopular, risk letting Trump in. That is also true, and it is vital that Trump is stopped, they’re just pointing out that that is easier if Biden listens to his base, rather than population wide surveys.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      The issue is some people really support the horrible shit Biden is doing, and if the Dem candidate won’t do it, then they’ll vote Republican.

      It happened when Obama managed to beat Hillary in 08. Moderates had a movement to vote Republican over Obama, and they did.

      They were just statistically insignificant and Obama had a landslide win that flipped multiple red states and got us the House and Senate.

      It’s really really hard to get Dem voters to compromise their morals though, moderate Dems need someone horrible they can stand next to and say “we have to stop them!”.

      The issue is it didn’t work in 2016, barely worked in 2020, and by all indications won’t work in 2024.

      We know what works. But the DNCs corporate donors would prefer a Republican to progressives. So they donate huge amounts during a primary and by the time it’s the general there’s no way for them to lose.

      • Dagwood222@lemm.ee
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        5 months ago

        It happened when Obama managed to beat Hillary in 08. Moderates had a movement to vote Republican over Obama, and they did.

        Have you got any source for that at all?

        • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          Sooooo many.

          It’s not a secret, it was openly all over the place back in 08.

          But I feel old realizing some people just weren’t politically active back then.

          Here’s a pre election poll

          https://news.gallup.com/poll/105691/mccain-vs-obama-28-clinton-backers-mccain.aspx

          Here’s a post election article

          https://www.cbsnews.com/news/who-were-those-clinton-mccain-crossover-voters/

          Here’s a pre election article

          https://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/08/26/clinton.backers/index.html

          Here’s the Wikipedia article on it

          https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_and_liberal_support_for_John_McCain_in_2008

          But this is something that is easily searchable and was an absolute huge news story…

          If most people have already forgotten about it, maybe that’s the disconnect I’ve been experiencing? Why people don’t realize how much Dems have changed in the last three cycles?

          They just genuinely don’t know what it was like before trump?

          That actually makes a lot of sense, and honestly I should have thought about that.

          Before we can get people on board with what we should do, we need to make sure they’re aware of what has happened. People don’t understand how much they’ve lost over just a few decades.

          • Dagwood222@lemm.ee
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            5 months ago

            So, by the stories you posted yourself, there were people who switched from McCain to Obama after Obama beat Hillary.

            Kind of like the 2008 election had two good candidates who respected the system and each other.

            Nice try.

              • Dagwood222@lemm.ee
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                5 months ago

                You’re hilarious.

                Yes, one person is exactly the same as a mass movement. The subject got headlines because she was rare.

                You were trying to imply that after Obama got the nod there was a mass migration from the Dems to McCain, and that loss was only made up by a massive Left tsunami that had sat out the primaries.

                • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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                  5 months ago

                  So you didn’t read the Wikipedia link either?

                  During the campaign, there was significant media discussion of Democratic Hillary Clinton voters backing McCain, in particular members of People United Means Action (also known as PUMA, originally standing for “Party Unity My Ass,” and also known as “Just Stay No Deal”) and those sympathetic to it.[40] After Clinton’s June 8 concession, 40% of women who supported Clinton described themselves as dissatisfied and 7% described themselves as angry; 25% said they would support McCain in November.[41]

                  Polling data According to Gallup Polls from June 9 to August 17 McCain’s cross-party support fluctuated between 10% and 13%. In the poll for August 18 to August 24 support for McCain among Democrats peaked at 14%. From October 13 to October 19 polls showed McCain’s support among Democrats to be 7%, which was the lowest thus far.[42] The CNN exit polls placed his Democratic support at 10% with the same percentage for liberal support. These results may not represent the general voters due to early voting.[43]

                  According to exit polls on Election Day, McCain won the votes of only 10% of Democrats nationwide, the same percentage of Democrats’ votes that George W. Bush won in 2004.[5]

                  Or the poll it referenced? I linked that too

                  You were trying to imply that after Obama got the nod there was a mass migration from the Dems to McCain,

                  Nope, I said:

                  It happened when Obama managed to beat Hillary in 08. Moderates had a movement to vote Republican over Obama, and they did.

                  They were just statistically insignificant and Obama had a landslide win that flipped multiple red states and got us the House and Senate.

                  Like, it seems the issue is your drastically underestimating how disproportionately moderate party leads represent the very very tiny percentage of Dem voters who are “moderate”. The moderates are not the bulk of the party, they never were.

                  But to be honest, it doesn’t seem like you’re interested in actual talking about this, you keep trying to turn this into an argument…

                  • Dagwood222@lemm.ee
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                    5 months ago

                    According to exit polls on Election Day, McCain won the votes of only 10% of Democrats nationwide, the same percentage of Democrats’ votes that George W. Bush won in 2004.[5]

                    So, literally no mass movemnet by “Moderates” trying to screw over the Left.

                    I don’t want to talk about it because it’s meaningless.